Baseball is back… here is what to expect
Welcome back to 2020. It’s nice to know that there is a path to a 60-game season, however, the COVID cloud is a stark reminder that nothing is certain yet. Still, BABS needs to assess what 60 games means. I have received several emails from readers asking whether BABS will even work in such a short season. Here is the answer to that question (free).
Once we get a handle on how playing time might be distributed (and to a lesser extent, any possible changes to skills ratings), we’ll publish an update to the BABS database and spreadsheet. The tentative date for this update is Friday, July 17. The plan is to publish that update along with an analysis of the major changes since March.
For some of you, this may be a late date for any 2020 drafts and re-drafts. With so many moving pieces, health risks and the statistical variability inherent in the BABS system, it is even more important for us to analyze performance using the most updated information available. If we can publish sooner, we will. Keep an eye out to your email for the BABSBulletin for any updates.
The below is from the March 18 update. (* Asterisked links are for members only.)
*How to navigate BABS in these changing times
Asset Group Analyses
Minor League BABS Scouting
During a normal season, we typically publish an update to the database and spreadsheet several times during the year. However, BABS is primarily a draft-prep program because it relies on long-view analysis. Given the shortness of the season and the likely wide spreading of playing time to more players, any in-season small-sample update would be mostly pointless, unfortunately. As such, there will be no in-season updates in 2020.
Hopefully, we’ll have some more normality in 2021.
Have a great 2020 season. Yes, it will be different, but everyone will be facing the same challenges. Since we’ll all be competing on a level playing field, I consider 2020 to be a totally valid fantasy season. Good luck.