2021 BABS Game Plan 3 – Game Strategies
The more we take a deep dive into all the variables affecting the 2021 season, the more we realize what a morass we’ll be facing. What can we take away from the 2020 short season? What can we learn from 2020’s geographic schedule? What can expect from players who didn’t play at all? Will the deadened ball have any effect? How will playing time be redistributed without a universal DH? How many more questions can I ask without answering them?
Truth is, we can take advantage of the chaos by having some type of plan. We may need to rely on educated speculations, but even that will keep us a step ahead of those who are content to let the chaos determine where the chips fall. Thankfully, BABS is all about embracing uncertainty.
This update’s focus is on game strategies related to this year’s player pool for snake and auction drafts, and alternative formats. I’ve written about taking high risk speculation to a new extreme for those willing to toss a 2021 Hail Mary. (The chaos must be real if I’m resorting to football metaphors.) In addition, we have more player history scans and asset group analyses. The BABS Database, Master Spreadsheet and FISH List have ben updated as well.
(* Asterisked links are for members only.)
Asset Group Analyses
March 10 Update – (*s,AV), (*e,KK), (*p,AV), (*e,k), (*p,a)
February 24 Update – (*PW,AV), (*ER,KK), (*P+), (*PW,a)
Player History Scans
*March 10 Update (Abreu, Arenado, Bellinger, Fried, Lamet, Martinez, Mondesi, Ozuna, Snell, Voit)
*February 24 Update (Bassitt, Bell, Cruz, Gonzales, Keuchel, Meadows, Myers, Nola, Sanchez, Tucker)
Positional analyses of the talent pool
*Report Tutorial | Variables Cheat Sheet (PDF)
BABS Draft Suite
The FISH List
Minor League BABS Scouting
BABS Baseball Leagues (BABL) – DEADLINE 3/12
The BABS Project 3.0 (FREE PDF files)
In the final March 24 update, we will look at what’s been going on in spring training and see if we need to make any changes to our expectations. We throw out some more players to target, especially those at the very bottom of the player pool. Doug, Pat and I will conduct our annual Longshot Caucus, I’ll share some expert league results and we’ll look ahead to BABS during the regular season. Plus, as always, updates to the database, spreadsheet and FISH List.
Ron, Love all the work you have done.
FPFla was great and told you there I used Portfolio3 along with BABS to identify ideal targets and refine draft strategies for my auction.
Well, combined with LISA, I ended up with the following team – I think I met the criteria with 193/67 H/P split: [13 team mixed, positions as shown, 3-7 keepers for 12 of 13 teams before the auction].
C1 JT Realmuto 25
C2 Wilson Contreras 12
1B1 CJ Cron 15
1B2 Rhys Hoskins 12
2B1 Whit Merrifield 27
2B2 Mike Moustakas 18
3B1 Justin Turner 10
3B2 Jean Segura 13
SS1 Chris Taylor 2
SS2 Gleyber Torres 21
OF1 Daulton Varsho 1
OF2 Miguel Andujar 1
OF3 Wil Myers 2
OF4 Eddie Rosario 15
UT Starling Marte 19
SP1 Jack Flaherty 27
SP2 German Marquez 6
SP3 Trevor Rogers 1
SP4 Taijuan Walker 3
P1 Scott Oberg 1
P2 Freddy Peralta 1
P3 Jonathan Loaisiga 1
P4 Drew Pomeranz 3
RP1 Kenley Jansen 14
RP2 Daniel Bard 6
Note that in this auction, 3 hitters went for 41+ – Story (44), Tatis(44), T Turner(41). DeGrom 39, Cole 40.