2021 BABS Game Plan 3 – Game Strategies

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The more we take a deep dive into all the variables affecting the 2021 season, the more we realize what a morass we’ll be facing. What can we take away from the 2020 short season? What can we learn from 2020’s geographic schedule? What can expect from players who didn’t play at all? Will the deadened ball have any effect? How will playing time be redistributed without a universal DH? How many more questions can I ask without answering them?

Truth is, we can take advantage of the chaos by having some type of plan. We may need to rely on educated speculations, but even that will keep us a step ahead of those who are content to let the chaos determine where the chips fall. Thankfully, BABS is all about embracing uncertainty.

This update’s focus is on game strategies related to this year’s player pool for snake and auction drafts, and alternative formats. I’ve written about taking high risk speculation to a new extreme for those willing to toss a 2021 Hail Mary. (The chaos must be real if I’m resorting to football metaphors.) In addition, we have more player history scans and asset group analyses. The BABS Database, Master Spreadsheet and FISH List have ben updated as well.

(* Asterisked links are for members only.)


Game Strategy
*Snake draft strategy
*Auction draft strategy
*Points league strategy
*Salary cap game strategy
*A 2021 path to LIMA, and LISA
*Mock Draft Solitaire

Asset Group Analyses
Profit opportunities that the marketplace is giving us:

March 10 Update – (*s,AV), (*e,KK), (*p,AV), (*e,k), (*p,a)

February 24 Update – (*PW,AV), (*ER,KK), (*P+), (*PW,a)

Player History Scans
Trend analyses of key players:

*March 10 Update (Abreu, Arenado, Bellinger, Fried, Lamet, Martinez, Mondesi, Ozuna, Snell, Voit)

*February 24 Update (Bassitt, Bell, Cruz, Gonzales, Keuchel, Meadows, Myers, Nola, Sanchez, Tucker)
SAMPLE (Ketel Marte)

Spotlight Players 
*Best BABS Targets
*Players to Pass On
*Unmatched Twins
*High Risk Players Going Too High
*Playing Time and the inefficient marketplace
*Deeeep Sleepers

Positional analyses of the talent pool
*Overview | *Catcher | *First base | *Second base | *Third base | *Shortstop | *Outfield | *Starting pitcher | *Relief pitcher


*Report Tutorial | Variables Cheat Sheet (PDF)

BABS Database 
Complete Major League BABS ratings, current and historical, with sorts and filters
*DatabaseReport Key

BABS Draft Suite
Your draft aids — cheat sheets, software support
*Master Spreadsheet | *RotoLab | ADPs from NFBCBlank roster grid

The FISH List
A new tool that integrates BABS ratings into the marketplace
*Current FISH List | *The FISH List, Take 2  | FISH List Reveals Effective Strategy | *Introducing the FISH List

Minor League BABS Scouting
*Major league equivalent BABS ratings for 2019 minor leaguers (Class AA and AAA players).


BABS Baseball Leagues (BABL) – DEADLINE 3/12
A fantasy competition based on BABS philosophies. 10-team leagues, 50-man rosters. ALL LEAGUES FILLED
The BABL Concept* | Details and Signup Info

*March 10 | *February 24 | *February 10
Do you have a question that would be best answered by one of our experts and benefit everyone? Submit it on our Contact Page and put MAILBAG in the Subject Line. We’ll select the best ones to respond to in each of the four Game Plan installments.

Reader forums
It’s your community of really smart BABSians. Ask questions, offer insights, vent – it’s your neighborhood. *Enter here


The BABS Project 3.0 (FREE PDF files)
Chapter listing
Book 1 – Why we need a new system
Book 2 – The Broad Assessment Balance Sheet
Book 3 – BABS in practice

Looking ahead  

In the final March 24 update, we will look at what’s been going on in spring training and see if we need to make any changes to our expectations. We throw out some more players to target, especially those at the very bottom of the player pool. Doug, Pat and I will conduct our annual Longshot Caucus, I’ll share some expert league results and we’ll look ahead to BABS during the regular season. Plus, as always, updates to the database, spreadsheet and FISH List.

2 thoughts on “2021 BABS Game Plan 3 – Game Strategies

  1. Gabe Feder

    Ron, Love all the work you have done.

    FPFla was great and told you there I used Portfolio3 along with BABS to identify ideal targets and refine draft strategies for my auction.

    Well, combined with LISA, I ended up with the following team – I think I met the criteria with 193/67 H/P split: [13 team mixed, positions as shown, 3-7 keepers for 12 of 13 teams before the auction].


    C1 JT Realmuto 25
    C2 Wilson Contreras 12
    1B1 CJ Cron 15
    1B2 Rhys Hoskins 12
    2B1 Whit Merrifield 27
    2B2 Mike Moustakas 18
    3B1 Justin Turner 10
    3B2 Jean Segura 13
    SS1 Chris Taylor 2
    SS2 Gleyber Torres 21
    OF1 Daulton Varsho 1
    OF2 Miguel Andujar 1
    OF3 Wil Myers 2
    OF4 Eddie Rosario 15
    UT Starling Marte 19
    SP1 Jack Flaherty 27
    SP2 German Marquez 6
    SP3 Trevor Rogers 1
    SP4 Taijuan Walker 3
    P1 Scott Oberg 1
    P2 Freddy Peralta 1
    P3 Jonathan Loaisiga 1
    P4 Drew Pomeranz 3
    RP1 Kenley Jansen 14
    RP2 Daniel Bard 6

    1. Gabe Feder

      Note that in this auction, 3 hitters went for 41+ – Story (44), Tatis(44), T Turner(41). DeGrom 39, Cole 40.

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