BABS DRAFT GAME PLAN 2 – Spotlight Players
DASHBOARD — All links here
The question I have been asked the most over the past few weeks is, “How is BABS going to deal with the Houston Astros sign-stealing scandal?” The great thing about BABS is she is uniquely qualified to handle this question, perhaps moreso than any other system. Scroll down to the Mailbag for her response.
This update’s focus is on the players who BABS believes are the ones you should be paying most attention to. These are discussed in the Analysis section. The BABS Database and Master Spreadsheet have ben updated as well. (* Asterisked links are for members only.)
REPORTS
*Report Tutorial | Variables Cheat Sheet (PDF)
BABS Database
Complete Major League BABS ratings, current and historical, with sorts and filters
*Database | Report Key
BABS Draft Suite
Your draft aids — cheat sheets, software support, etc.
*Master Spreadsheet | *RotoLab | Blank roster grid
Minor League BABS Scouting
*Major league equivalent BABS ratings for 2019 minor leaguers (Class AA and AAA players).
ANALYSIS
*High Risk Players Going Far Too High
Player History Scans
*February 19 Report: Trend analyses of the performance, marketplace (ADPs and AAVs) and BABS ratings for Blackmon, Bryant, Conforto, Darvish, Dahl, Giolito, Lindor, K.Marte, Puig, Rizzo, G.Torres
SAMPLE (Jose Ramirez)
More coming in the March 4 update.
Asset Group Analyses
*February 19 Report: A review of how the marketplace is ranking players within these skills profiles: (PW,AV), (p,AV), (p,a), (SB,AV), (e,k), (ER,K+,SV)
SAMPLE (ER,KK)
More coming in the March 4 update.
Positional analyses of the talent pool
*Overview | *CA | *1B | *3B | *2B | *SS | *OF | *SP | *RP
INTERACTION
Mailbag
*February 19 Edition | *February 5 Edition
Do you have a question that would be best answered by one of our experts and benefit everyone? Submit it on our Contact Page and put MAILBAG in the Subject Line. We’ll select the best ones to respond to in each of the four Game Plan installments.
Reader forums
It’s your community of really smart BABSians. Ask questions, offer insights, vent – it’s your neighborhood. *Enter here
BABS Baseball Leagues (BABL)
A fantasy competition based on BABS philosophies. 10-team leagues, 50-man rosters
*The BABL Concept | *Details and Signup Info
(Signup deadline March 6)
REFERENCE
The BABS Project 3.0 (FREE PDF files)
Book 1 – Why we need a new system
Book 2 – The Broad Assessment Balance Sheet
Book 3 – BABS in practice
Coming March 4
BABS Game Strategies: BABS looks at this year’s player pool in terms of snake and auction drafts, and alternative formats as well. Plus a database/spreadsheet update, more player and asset group analyses, and our regular features
When will the NL only spreadsheets be available?
We haven’t run league-specific spreadsheets in several years. You can run NL-only reports from the database.
This probably is NOT the place for this, but here goes anyway. Minor League BABS, hitters excel. There is no Joey Bart. Just wondering where he would be positioned if he was expected to get the call-up in 2020.
The general cut-off these charts use is 100 AB and 30 IP, minimum Double-A. Bart got only 79 AB at Double-A last year, so his data sample was too small to include.
While you can filter for NL-only players, the database report still uses ADP and $$ based on the full MLB player pool. It also outputs pitchers and hitters separately.
So for a NL-only league, there are two options. First is to filter the MLB spreadsheet for only players on NL teams. Then you have to either recognize the ADP and $$ will be off for NL-only pool — or you can look for NL-only ADP/$$ elsewhere and cross reference.
The second option is to use RotoLAB. You can set the league player universe and scoring categories, and it can generate ADP/$$ based on BaseballHQ projections. That should be closer to how informed non-BABS drafters may value players.
For the most part, will changes to the database from here forward be primarily about playing time, or will the various skills be updated too?
Primarily playing time, yes, but everything is reviewed and changed as necessary with each update.
I’m in an NL only auction league. Even though it’s an auction, I find the ADP values very useful. There is strong correlation between ADP and auction price. I use the BABS database to create two files, one for pitchers and the other for hitters. I do not combine them into one XL sheet, they remain separate. I just divide all the ADP values by 2; and I’m good to go. The R$ don’t change all that much. Yes there are some bottom rung guys who in a mixed league aren’t selected, who go for $2 or $1 in an NL/AL league, but it’s obvious who they are.
Ok I am getting confused then, thanks! Do we know when the “BABS Variables Cheat Sheet” will get updated? It does not match some of the new items you have listed (e.g. sv-, Sk-, etc.)
Hmm… we’ll have to get to that. Sorry.
Sk- = the skills liabilities listed at the top of the sheet.
SV = 30+ saves expectation
sv- = 10-29 saves expectation
Will you have the Game Strategies out this week? Big auction Sunday!
Thanks!
They were posted yesterday.
Got it, all good. Just trying to figure out what the new tags mean. Thanks!