A BABS-eye View of the 2017 Pennant Races

I hate trying to predict which teams are going to win. Opening Day is just a starting point for a season full of activity, so to project what October will look like based on today’s rosters is pointless. But here’s the thing… BABS loves doing these predictions. Frankly, the balance sheet perspective does offer up…

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PLAYER PREMONITION #170403

Every so often, something about a player will rise to my consciousness. A hidden indicator. A revelation that wakes me up at night. I’ll call these periodic posts Player Premonitions. We’ll  open this new feature with a starting pitcher. Seven years ago, this pitcher won 18 games with a 2.97 ERA in nearly 200 innings,…

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Premonitions, and other final brain flakes

At this time of year, everyone is out with their bold predictions. For some writers, it’s an exercise in tossing spaghetti against a wall to see what sticks. At Baseball HQ, I used to conduct what I called a Longshot Caucus, which was a bit more analytically sound, linking together some conditional possibilities. For me,…

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The changing game and the 10-day DL

This year, members have access to all the columns I write for ESPN Insider. They appear here every Thursday or Friday. Many will include a BABS-relevant postscript. Enjoy. Over the past three decades, changes in the real game have had slow but subtle effects on the fantasy game. These changes have made fantasy more challenging…

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Go Big or Go Home: My Tout Wars Team

Last year in Tout Wars, several of the participants decided that a conservative approach in these redraft leagues did not get the job done. More often than not, the winner was the owner who drafted the most risky plays that paid off. A report card of surprising “A’s” and “F’s” often bested those with “B’s”…

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No path to playing time

This year, members have access to all the columns I write for ESPN Insider. They appear here every Friday. Many will include a BABS-relevant postscript. Enjoy. Living in Port St. Lucie, FL, I have been able to follow the career of Michael Conforto since he played for the Class-A St. Lucie Mets. I think he…

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Insights from the BABS Database Player Scans

The new BABS Database provides us with a bit of historical perspective on players. The end-of-season Asset ratings from 2014, 2015 and 2016 have been loaded in, giving us a nice three-year scan that helps provide insight into the 2017 ratings. Here are several players with interesting scans, along with some commentary. Players are listed…

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How important is draft prep?

This year, members have access to all the columns I write for ESPN Insider. They appear here every Friday. Many will include a BABS-relevant postscript. Enjoy. If you’re like most serious fantasy leaguers this month, you are probably scouring websites, filtering news, downloading data, crunching numbers, ranking players, making charts, requesting advice, doing mocks and…

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Embracing the grey

For those who have spent most of their adult life married to the numbers – like me – the Broad Assessment Balance Sheet (BABS) is a mindset that takes some time to understand and accept. Completely divorcing yourself from the numbers is tough. When I make statements like, “Evan Longoria and Nick Castellanos (pictured) are…

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The skewed value of sophomores

This year, members have access to all the columns I write for ESPN Insider. They appear here every Thursday or Friday. Many will include a BABS-relevant postscript. Enjoy. Trea Turner posted an amazing set of numbers in just 307 at-bats last summer. He is being selected in the first round of most drafts, usually ahead…

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