Shortstop marketplace offers options at every draft stage

The top of the shortstop leaderboard offers an ample mix of power, speed and batting average. Here, as with 2Bmen, it is always useful to grab the speed when you can. But this group also is littered with health and experience risk, so you do need to exercise some caution.

Multi-asset commodities run 20 deep – just like last year – so everyone should be able to grab an anchor.

Here are the BABS ratings for the shortstops who will potentially provide some positive value to your team:

 

ASSETS: PT (Playing time), Pw (Power), Sp (Speed), Av (Batting Effectiveness), * (OBP help)
LIABILITIES: Av (Batting Ineffectiveness), Inj (Injury), Ex (Experience)

Conceivably, Trea Turner (pictured) should be the most valuable player in baseball. His speed skills are better than Jose Altuve and his power at least shows up on the BABS scale. However, we are still waiting for him to see even 450 AB in a season. His injury indicator is a full-fledged (INJ); if it was at least (inj-), maybe we could sweep it under the carpet. So, take Turner and assume the risk.

Similar to the 2Bmen, the top of the talent pool is composed of players who each have unique skill sets, so there is no room to leverage their market values. However, you should consider each one within the context of the entire player population. For instance, a player like Paul DeJong (PW,a) is in the same asset group as Edwin Encarnacion and Brian Dozier, but can be drafted over 100 picks later and could be $15 cheaper.

The (s,AV) group provides the first opportunity to play the market. Francisco Lindor’s power barely misses registering a (p) grade, so maybe he’s worth his ADP spot. However, you are not giving up that much by waiting on Elvis Andrus or Xander Bogaerts.

The (SB,a) group is even deeper, with a half dozen opportunities to take advantage of those speed skills at various parts of the draft. There is a good opportunity to play the end game here. Wilmer Difo’s multi-position eligibility increases his value and he’s one injury away from gaining good playing time. What if Daniel Murphy is not fully healed? What if Trea Turner finds a way to avoid 500 AB again? He could also pick up ABs at 3B, where Anthony Rendon has had his own history of injuries. What’s the downside at No. 433? As I always say, remove “no path to playing time” from your vocabulary.

The (a) group is a good case study in BABSian thinking. All of those players have some power skill that is not significant enough for BABS to notice. Five of six are full-timers, yet they are being drafted across 400 picks. As always, recency bias pushes last year’s best performer to the top of the list, and Didi Gregorius gets the call this time. But you can wait 90-plus picks or save a few bucks for others who are going to put up highly similar numbers. In real terms, the difference between Gregorius and Brandon Crawford (213 picks later) is about 5 HRs and maybe 10 points of batting average. That’s statistical noise.

The part-timer pool is pretty thin at this position. There are a few pockets of skill but nothing that I would spend time waiting on. Maybe Willy Adames in a dynasty league.

12 Comments

  1. Michael Canes on February 16, 2018 at 12:17 pm

    I just signed up for Schandler, and this is the first article I’m trying to read. But the table is blurred out on my screen. What am I missing?



  2. Merv on February 16, 2018 at 1:17 pm

    Its a little blurry, because the pic is stretched, but I can read it easily. Is it so blurry that you can’t read it? Really it is just backdrop for the discussion, you would normally get the ratings out of the database reports.



  3. legorn on February 16, 2018 at 1:54 pm

    Ron, BABS seems to really like Tim Anderson (last year as well). What should we expect from him this year? Thanks for the great work.



  4. Chris Wilson on February 16, 2018 at 2:21 pm

    FWIW, Ketel Marte is at 980 total PAs (incl. postseason) for his MLB career. That “e” designation will be a memory likely after the first week of the season.



  5. Bryan Corbett on February 16, 2018 at 2:43 pm

    I have been thinking I would grab him late or for cheap in auctions. One of the things that gives me pause is his unbelievably terrible Eye. I play primarily in OBP leagues, so it is really making me second guess him being my starting SS.



  6. shandler on February 16, 2018 at 6:30 pm

    Not to be flip, but when you ask what we should expect from him this year, my immediate response is (F, S+,a), because that is about as precise as we can get.



  7. James McKnight on February 18, 2018 at 1:03 am

    I saw the Angels traded Cron, creating playing time for Valbuena. I figured Ron and Babs would be so happy about it. To have things going right before the season even starts is a good place to be.



  8. shandler on February 18, 2018 at 8:25 am

    It’s only mid-February. There is still time for things to go wrong.



  9. tcmitssr on February 19, 2018 at 1:30 am

    Whr would you put as Seager’s auction value in an NL only standard Roto 5 by 5 league?



  10. shandler on February 19, 2018 at 6:43 am

    Somewhere between $25-30, probably, but it all depends upon your league tendencies.



  11. Mark Simmons on February 19, 2018 at 11:19 am

    I have Anderson @ $2 in a keeper auction league. This is his option year (meaning if I want to keep him beyond this season, I have to increase his salary)…based upon players listed around him, it looks safe to extend him to $12 and have him through 2020…thoughts??



  12. shandler on February 19, 2018 at 11:24 am

    Given that he’s already earned $11 and $14 the past two years, where is the downside?