No need to overpay for closer roles

16 Comments

1. lou novak on February 27, 2018 at 2:15 pm

   why does rotolab babs show archie Bradley with double KK’s and your market place show him with a single K

   
   
   
2. Steven Schipper on February 27, 2018 at 7:08 pm

   12 Team 5 x 5 Auction – $260 – Roster: 13 Hitters, 9 Pitchers, 5 Bench (2 DL)……

   In 2017, the league drafted 49 RPs. 2@$20, 1@$19, 4@18, 6@16, 2@15, 1@14, 1@13, 2@11, 2@10, 2@9, 1@8, 3@7, 2@6, 1@5, 4@4, 2@3, 13@$1-2 – total $431. (13.8% of available dollars)

   During the auctions over the past 5 years, it “feels” as though most of my fellow owners are willing to bid up the price for saves to ensure they have at least two viable closers. As you can see, last year there were 15 closers who cost at least $15.
   Of course most of them didn’t earn what they cost, and many $1 RPs, like my guy Knebel, cost $1.

   In today’s article, you’ve listed 5 closers worth us spending at least $15 to draft them.

   Ron and Site-Mates, what can you deduce from all this information that would help me strategize for the auction draft this year?

   Ron, thanks for all your great work, and consideration of this question.

   
   
   
3. shandler on February 27, 2018 at 7:16 pm

   As noted elsewhere, there are some discrepancies. I have dug into them and determined that the Master Spreadsheet has the correct data. There will be a database update this Friday that will fix the issue.

   
   
   
4. shandler on February 27, 2018 at 7:20 pm

   Well, for starters, I don’t think there are ever 49 relief pitchers on draft day that have predictable shots at saves. In the experts leagues, there are typically 30-32 pitchers purchased for saves speculation. So immediately, you are paying for upwards of 20 shots in the dark – those are dollars wasted. I do think there are only a handful that are safe bets for larger investments. I’d take a shot at those and then just bottom feed, focusing on skills.

   
   
   
5. Erik DiNardo on February 27, 2018 at 9:18 pm

   hey ron i am in a 12 team 5×5 AL only keeper league with a 900ip min. Two of my keepers going into the auction are chad green and chris devenski. What do you think of them this season?

   
   
   
6. shandler on February 27, 2018 at 9:21 pm

   Both could be interesting given that teams may start using relievers for longer stints. But Green is already being stretched out as a possible starter. Devenski ran out of gas late in the year so I suspect he’d be kept in the pen.

   
   
   
7. Jason Prugar on February 28, 2018 at 11:44 am

   I have a question regarding the targets on the BABS Roster grid. When it says my target in a 12-team mixed league is 14 for PW, is that 14 at PW, or a mix of PW or P+, or just getting 14 players with a rating under PW?

   
   
   
8. shandler on February 28, 2018 at 12:01 pm

   That’s 14 with any of (p), (PW) or (P+). If you roster a (P+) player, that buys you one player with no power.

   
   
   
9. Matthew on March 1, 2018 at 1:55 pm

   Hey Ron,
   Love the work you do – Neris and Vizcaino – would you roll the dice with those two as your closers headed into an auction? $260 cap and each of those guys is $5. Or should I let one or both go and just head into my auction needing to get a full closer complement?
   Thanks!

   
   
   
10. shandler on March 1, 2018 at 2:06 pm

    BABS sees them both about the same, though Vizcaino’s injury risk puts him a little behind. I’d be comfortable going in with Neris and then fishing. It’s a crapshoot, anyway, right?

    
    
    
11. Matthew on March 1, 2018 at 2:15 pm

    Pretty much! Darn closers. Dislike guessing on them almost as much as I dislike spending on catchers.

    Thanks Ron

    
    
    
12. Douglas Harvey on March 2, 2018 at 11:39 am

    Any chance Holds might be calculated into BABS as well? I know they are as volatile as Saves, but I am seeing more and more leagues moving to using them.

    
    
    
13. shandler on March 2, 2018 at 2:09 pm

    Given that BABS is skills-based, it’s tough to justify adding a non-skill-based metric. BABS gave in to Saves as a concession to standard league formats and might be forced to with Holds, but right now there are no plans.

    
    
    
14. Douglas Harvey on March 3, 2018 at 12:23 pm

    Fair point – and in many ways if a player has Saves at all they would likely be Holds worthy too.

    
    
    
15. Josh Bogin on March 4, 2018 at 1:56 am

    How is the analysis tweaked for a more traditional 4×4 with only 10 teams, nl or al only?

    
    
    
16. shandler on March 4, 2018 at 7:24 am

    You have to take more risks in a 4×4 since the top closers can go for $30 or more. But the underlying thought process is the same.