Surprise batters who could be for real

This is my weekly article for ESPN Insider.

It's barely two weeks into the season and we are still within the period of insufficient sample sizes. Most batters have fewer than 40 plate appearances. Starting pitchers have appeared maybe three times. And yet, fantasy owners have been scouring the free agent pool for replacements, upgrades and speculations.

He who hesitates is lost, after all.

But some early performances are clearly outliers, some are clearly for real and some, well, who knows?

To validate the "who knows?" category, we can look to skills metrics, history and contextual changes . . .

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