2022 Asset Group Analysis – (PW,a)

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by Curt Brooks

Asset groups are a key component of the BABS system. They are our means to assemble players with comparable skills profiles and then review how the marketplace ranks them. The philosophy is that, if several players are comparable, they should be valued at about the same level. As described in Chapter 2 of The BABS Project 3.1, that’s not always the case. Here is where we can uncover opportunities to build profit into our rosters.

(PW,a)
ADP R$ BATTER Pos Tm PT Pw Sp Av * Pk Rg Sk- Inj Ex Nw Ag Pk Rg Risk
43 $21 Olson,Matt 1 OAK F PW a * 0
53 $19 Riley,Austin 3 ATL F PW a Rg- 0.25
58 $18 Alonso,Pete 1 NYM F PW a 0
60 $17 Springer,George OD TOR F PW a * INJ 5.00
97 $13 Stanton,Giancarlo DO NYY F PW a * INJ 3.00
109 $12 Haniger,Mitch OD SEA F PW a INJ 3.00
126 $10 Schwarber,Kyle O BOS F PW a * INJ 3.00
129 $10 Cron,C.J. 1 COL F PW a INJ 3.00
130 $10 Reyes,Franmil D CLE F PW a inj- 1.00
135 $9 Adames,Willy S MLW F PW a 0
153 $8 Votto,Joey 1 CIN F PW a * inj- Ag 1.25
161 $8 Turner,Justin 3 LAD F PW a INJ Ag 3.25
168 $7 McMahon,Ryan 32 COL F PW a 0
233 $4 Sanchez,Jesus O MIA F PW a INJ EX Rg- 5.25
272 $3 Voit,Luke 1 NYY M PW a INJ 3.00
280 $2 Myers,Wil O SDP F PW a 0

The (PW,a) group is headlined by some well-known hitters with a wide market outlook, ranging from early picks all the way to the late rounds. It is also a group with some injury concerns, though nearly all are projected for full-time action.

Matt Olson leads the way and is currently a 3rd round selection, and with no liabilities suggests he merits strong consideration for an early pick.

With an ADP currently in the early 50s, one might think twice about Austin Riley – BABS suggests he might  give back some of his 2021 production. A slightly safer pick can be found a few spots later in Pete Alonso with no liabilities.

From Rounds 5 to 9 are a string of heavy hitters, all of whom have major injury concerns. George Springer is coming off two separate injuries, but is still an elite hitter when on the field. Giancarlo Stanton is a perpetual injury risk, though he did manage 579 AB last year, and is still only 32. Mitch Haniger, Kyle Schwarber and C.J. Cron all have mega-power potential. Franmil Reyes is a slightly lesser risk, though you should check your league’s position eligibility rules as he may be a one-dimensional player fitting only in a UT slot.

If you want a safer player with a comparable plus-power and average profile from your middle infield, Willy Adames who has found new life in Milwaukee. He’s still out there at the Round 9-10 wheel. And don’t overlook  Ryan McMahon, who qualifies at both 2B and 3B. Both have the bonus of carrying no liabilities making each an excellent choice.

One can also show respect to the veterans found within this group. The “ageless wonder” known as Joey Votto enters the conversation as a low-risk pick who looks to add another solid season to his resume. Justin Turner is coming off a couple of injuries but might see additional opportunities at DH.

Finally, towards the end of the draft, Wil Myers should certainly be on your radar as he has a stable track record of steady production heading into his 10th major league season at the age of 31.