2023 Asset Group Analyses – (PW,AV)

(Photo by Brandon Sloter/Icon Sportswire)

by Greg Fishwick

Asset groups are a key component of the BABS system. They are our means to assemble players with comparable skills profiles and then review how the marketplace ranks them. The philosophy is that, if several players are comparable, they should be valued at about the same level. But that’s not always the case. Here is where we can uncover opportunities to build profit into our rosters.

ADP R$ BATTER Pos Lg Tm PT Pw Sp Av * Pk Rg Sk- Inj Ex Nw Ag Pk Rg Cost
14 $32 Machado,Manny 3 N SDP F PW AV 0
20 $28 Devers,Rafael 3 A BOS F PW AV 0
22 $27 Riley,Austin 3 N ATL F PW AV 0
27 $25 Goldschmidt,Paul 1D N STL F PW AV * Rg- 0.50
66 $16 Seager,Corey S A TEX F PW AV Rg+ 0
81 $14 Springer,George OD A TOR F PW AV inj- 1.00
127 $10 Castellanos,Nick O N PHI F PW AV inj- 1.00

 

The (PW,AV) Asset Group is populated by potential 4-category production, so there is no surprise that the marketplace is drafting most of its members in the first two rounds. These are cornerstone players, who coincidentally mostly play the corner infield positions.

But even at the top there are leverage opportunities. Manny Machado might be going in the first round, but you can feel comfortable passing on him with three comparable commodities — Rafael Devers, Auston Riley and Paul Goldschmidt (pictured) — coming back to you in Round 2

From there, it gets more interesting. Corey Seager is one of the prime candidates to benefit from the new defensive shift limitations, as noted with his positive regression indicator (Rg+). His core skills profile match the quartet going earlier, so there is potentially big profit grabbing him at his 5th round ADP, or a round earlier to be sure you get him.

George Springer has spent about 150 days on the IL over the past five years, but it seems like little nagging injuries are always affecting him even when he’s in the lineup. The underlying skills, however, are elite, and if you can build his injury risk into your roster, there is plenty of hidden profit here in Round 6.

Finally, Nick Castellanos, whose first year in Philadelphia was wholly forgettable. However, a hit batsman, turf toe and an oblique injury probably played a part in suppressing his numbers. He is just one year removed from a 34-100-.309 season that the marketplace is completely ignoring with his 9th round ADP.

NOTES: The ratings in the above analysis may vary slightly from the latest database update which was run after this analysis was written. To engage with other readers on this topic, head over to the Reader Forums. If you have a question that would be best answered by one of our experts and benefit everyone, submit it on our Contact Page and put MAILBAG in the Subject Line.