2021 Asset Group Analysis – (e,KK)

(Photo by Jimmy Simmons/Icon Sportswire)

by Pat Cloghessy

Asset groups are a key component of the BABS system. They are our means to assemble players with comparable skills profiles and then review how the marketplace ranks them. The philosophy is that, if several players are comparable, they should be valued at about the same level. As described in Chapter 2 of The BABS Project 3.0, that’s not always the case. Here is where we can uncover opportunities to build profit into our rosters.

 

(e,KK)
ADP R$ PITCHER Pos Tm PT Er K Sv * Pk Rg Sk- Inj Ex Nw Ag Pk Rg
31 $24 Flaherty,Jack SP STL F e KK Rg+
41 $21 Gallen,Zac SP ARZ F e KK e
68 $16 Gray,Sonny SP CIN F e KK
100 $12 Anderson,Ian SP ATL M e KK EX Rg-
124 $10 McCullers,Lance SP HOU M e KK INJ
124 $10 Morton,Charlie SP ATL M e KK Nw Ag
128 $10 Musgrove,Joe SP SDP M e KK Nw
135 $9 Gausman,Kevin SP SFG M e KK
139 $9 Corbin,Patrick SP WAS F e KK
224 $4 Ohtani,Shohei SP LAA P e KK INJ EX Rg-
303 $2 Kopech,Michael SP CWS P e KK INJ EX
520 $(3) Rogers,Trevor rp MIA P e KK Rg+ EX
644 $(5) Loaisiga,Jonathan rp NYY P e KK INJ EX

The 13-man (e,KK) asset group clocks in behind just the (e,k) for sheer size. This is a big boy. Many fantasy rotations will have shares here. And that’s not a bad thing. The ability to rack up strikeouts is desirable. Pairing it with rate-stat help makes for some worthy speculations. 

There are entries from this set scattered all throughout the draft. But there is some order to it. BABS provides a fairly simple understanding of the group’s hierarchy: playing time.

As the ADP number gets larger, the playing time projection decreases. The greater the PT projection, the fewer dings on the liability side. This all makes great sense, and it’s easy to see on the screen (thanks BABS). 

One outlier is Patrick Corbin. He presents with no liabilities, yet goes off 100 picks after the only other full-timers on the list. Jack Flaherty (pictured) seems to be getting a pass for 2020, but Corbin is not. Flaherty may have been a bit unlucky, while Corbin’s skill metrics tanked. Small sample, sure. Should we chuck Corbin’s 2020 in the waste bin? For now, it seems the market has not.  

The meat of the group is in the mid-time subset. It runs the gamut: stable veterans, next big things, career resurrections, etc. There is a 70-pick ADP range for the five mid-timers, with relatively few liabilities. That’s a comfortable chair from which to contemplate adding some nice assets.

Big, risky, upside arms lie in the ADP 200s. The skills say ADP top 50. The liabilities are enough to trigger plenty of questions.  At that stage in the draft, and if roster construction permits the risk…these guys can shove. It’s the old high ceiling/low floor scenario. Tempting, but with that pit in the stomach. Strong constitution required.