2020 Asset Group Analysis – (PW)
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Asset groups are how BABS assembles players with comparable skills and then reviews how the marketplace ranks them. The philosophy is that, if several players are comparable, they should be valued at about the same level. As described in Chapter 2 of The BABS Project 3.0, that’s is not always the case, It is here where we can uncover numerous opportunities to build profit into our rosters.
(PW)
| ADP | R$ | BATTER | Pos | Tm | PT | Pw | Sp | Av | * | Pk | Rg | Sk- | Inj | Ex | Nw | Ag | Pk | Rg | |
| 55 | $18 | Stanton,Giancarlo | O | NYY | F | PW | * | INJ | Rg- | ||||||||||
| 80 | $15 | Sanchez,Gary | C | NYY | M | PW | INJ | ||||||||||||
| 86 | $14 | Soler,Jorge | DO | KCR | F | PW | * | ||||||||||||
| 90 | $13 | Chapman,Matt | 3 | OAK | F | PW | |||||||||||||
| 116 | $11 | Hoskins,Rhys | 1 | PHI | F | PW | * | ||||||||||||
| 145 | $9 | Reyes,Franmil | OD | CLE | F | PW | e | ||||||||||||
| 146 | $9 | Schwarber,Kyle | O | CHC | F | PW | * | Rg- | |||||||||||
| 177 | $7 | Davis,Khris | D | OAK | F | PW | inj- | ||||||||||||
| 183 | $6 | Dozier,Hunter | 3O | KCR | F | PW | |||||||||||||
| 201 | $6 | Kelly,Carson | C | ARZ | M | PW | * | e | |||||||||||
| 206 | $5 | Pederson,Joc | O1 | LAD | M | PW | inj- | ||||||||||||
| 245 | $4 | Murphy,Tom | C | SEA | M | PW | e | ||||||||||||
| 252 | $3 | Renfroe,Hunter | O | TBR | F | PW | inj- | Nw | |||||||||||
| 280 | $2 | Grichuk,Randal | O | TOR | F | PW | |||||||||||||
| 338 | $0 | Yastrzemski,Mike | O | SFG | F | PW | EX | ||||||||||||
| 388 | $0 | Carpenter,Matt | 3 | STL | M | PW | * | inj- | |||||||||||
| 534 | $(3) | Belt,Brandon | 1 | SFG | F | PW | * | ||||||||||||
| 569 | $(4) | Lamb,Jake | 31 | ARZ | P | PW | * | Rg+ | |||||||||||
| 609 | $(4) | Cron,Kevin | 1 | ARZ | M | PW | EX |
One thing that jumps out about the (PW) asset group is the relative lack of liabilities. There are 18 full- and mid-timers, with one part-timer. Of the 19 power hitters, BABS shows just six with injury risk — only two major — and five with experience liabilities. None of the 19 have both together. So if power is a need, especially in the 10th round or later, this appears to be a group to target.
The player in this set with the highest ADP (by about 25 picks) is Giancarlo Stanton (ADP 55). He is also one of only two players here with a significant injury liability (INJ), and it has already reared its ugly head. The other is Stanton’s Yankee teammate Gary Sanchez, coincidentally the 2nd highest ranked player in the group (by ADP). Prior to Stanton’s injury, the NYY price escalator was on full display.
This is abundantly clear when we consider that there are 17 other players with similar skill-sets who, on the whole, are much cheaper. Jorge Soler, Matt Chapman and Rhys Hoskins are the only other players in the group being drafted prior pick 149.
Picture this: Fellow outfielders Franmil Reyes, Kyle Schwarber and Khris Davis can all be selected 90+ picks after Giancarlo Stanton (pre-calf ADP). None come strapped with Stanton’s injury history. Cases can be made against each, but maybe Reyes is what he was last season. Maybe Schwaber’s second half is a harbinger, and maybe Davis’ May 5th meeting with an outfield wall is finally behind him. Krush hit 10 HR in March/April of 2019, 13 thereafter.
If Gary Sanchez’ power is a boon to the catcher position, be aware that both Carson Kelly and Tom Murphy stand a reasonable chance to put up comparable stat lines. Neither Kelly or Murphy leaves the draft board prior to pick 200, nor do they have the injury history of Sanchez. Both are still a bit green in the experience department. The price difference probably assuages some of the fear of missing out on the Yankee masher.
Hunter Renfroe and Randal Grichuk are premium power targets, and extraordinarily so when considering their sticker prices: 16th round (15 teamer) or 20th round (12 teamer).
Veterans Matt Carpenter, Jacob Lamb and Brandon Belt have been left for dead. These are not sexy end-game speculations, but could provide power upside.